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In one of our frequent group discussions, I recently asked Destiny Capital’s wealth strategists and financial planners what questions and concerns they are hearing from their clients most often these days. To my surprise, the answer wasn’t COVID – it was concern about the November election. Therefore, it was suggested that someone publicly articulate our firm’s general thoughts on this subject – and all digital eyes turned to me despite my best efforts to slink below my desk and out of eyeshot of my Zoom webcam.
In late May, over 5.8 million viewers tuned-in to watch Tiger Woods, Peyton Manning, Phil Mickelson, and Tom Brady play a sloppy round of golf in the midst of a torrential downpour. Highlights of the match – to many viewers, anyway – included Tom Brady splitting his pants, commentator Charles Barkley’s incisive trolling, and Phil Mickelson’s chiseled calves. Given the record viewership for this event, I think it’s safe to say that Americans are a bit starved for competitive, live sports. As such, I thought I’d begin this month’s market & economy recap by using a sports metaphor to dissect and explain what we’ve experienced in financial markets in recent weeks.
Our path has been long and punishing, and it may feel disheartening that we haven’t yet reached ‘Peak COVID’ when considering either total global cases or full economic impact. The summit seems near, but we still have a laborious path ahead, particularly when considering both the loss of life and the release of future economic & earnings data.
As the pandemic crisis continues to persist, I’ve sensed an evolving spectrum of emotions from friends, family and co-workers in recent days and weeks. In fact, I’m finding that some of these emotions often overlap with the commonly known ‘five stages of grief’ that many people experience when dealing with loss or hardship.
As we are now 60 days into our new world after this Moment of Common Recognition we wanted to highlight some of the ways our world has changed and which of those are likely to be permanent.
We actively identify and implement tactical opportunities to better position client portfolios, yet – as Chess GrandMaster Garry Kasparov recommends – we remain true to who we are as investors and asset managers. This allows us to maintain incredibly strong conviction in our thesis, process, asset selections, and tactical decisions.
Recent days have been fascinating – strictly economically speaking – as we are finally starting to see earnings reports and other economic indicators that begin to reflect the realities of the COVID-19 pandemic. In short – report cards are finally starting to arrive, and investors are beginning to get a strong dose of reality. Therefore, we’ll start our weekly commentary with a very basic report card of some of the data that has emerged in recent days.
One topic that has gotten lost in the shuffle of the COVID-19 crisis is what’s been happening with the world’s largest commodity – oil. Since early March, crude oil prices have plummeted and, this week, U.S. crude oil futures contracts for May delivery dipped sharply into negative territory.
The pace, scope and scale of change we have all experienced over the last 60 days has been extraordinary, and can be summed-up in one word we discuss often at Destiny Capital – volatility.
As I write this article, I’m working remotely at home. My puppy is tugging at my feet for my attention and my six-year-old son is sitting next to me hard at work powering through his school...
One morning over 18 ½ years ago, I sat sleepily in front of a computer at my home in New Jersey, lazily sweeping my mouse across the screen as I planned a move to Colorado and applied for...
There have been several pieces of Federal legislation to address the impact of COVID-19 that have been enacted in the past few weeks. Because these have been enacted quickly and the...